Where in the World Are Our Distance Education Students?: IPEDS Reality Check

This is the second in a series of blog posts examining data recently released by the U.S. Department of Education’s IPEDS survey on distance education enrollments. Our first blog post in this series looked at the percentage of students enrolled exclusively in distance education or taking at least one distance education course.  What about the location of students?
Russ Poulin

There has been much discussion about the population of students studying online at U.S. institutions of higher education. State authorization compliance is known to be an issue, but until there was data to support the claims that institutions were serving students beyond their state borders, no one knew how many students and institutions were affected. We now have data that begins to bring the current situation into focus.

Location of DE Students
The Fall 2012 IPEDS data gives us our first national view of where the DE students served are located in relation to the schools that are serving them. The issue of enrolling students from out-of-state and out-of-country is an important topic for all institutions concerned about state authorization compliance. This data gives us our first look at the magnitude of this challenge.

It is noteworthy that all of the data reported on the location of students is for “students enrolled exclusively in DE courses” only.  And those enrolled “exclusively in DE courses” represents about 13% of all enrollments and only half of all DE enrollments reported.

Since students who participate in a combination of on-campus and DE courses are probably physically located near the campus, it is a reasonable assumption that data for these students would not change the national snapshot. But since they do represent half of the DE students, the fact that we don’t have data on half of the population is important to recognize. It is also likely true that as students choice of how they will take their courses change from semester to semester, they could be counted in one semester and not in another. These numbers will be interesting to track over time.

Nevertheless, it gives us an important glimpse into the potential size of the challenges facing institutions who need to come into state authorization compliance.  It also gives insight into the scope of the number of institutions and students involved in cross-border transactions for policymakers and regulators who are creating the systems and monitoring the activities of IHE’s.

Students Enrolled Exclusively Online and Students’ Location

All Degree-granting Institutions		Students Enrolled Exclusively in Distance Education Courses
State	Number of enrollments exclusively in DE courses	% of Total enrollment	% enrolled in same state as IHE	% enrolled not in same state as IHE	% enrolled located outside U.S.	% enrolled in U.S., state unknown	% enrolled student location unknown/ not reported	Total Enrollment—All Degree-Granting IHEs in U.S.
AK	5,553	17%	91%	8%	1%	0%	0%	32,797
AL	50,008	16%	44%	53%	2%	0%	1%	310,311
AR	16,700	9%	85%	12%	1%	0%	2%	176,458
AZ	360,189	49%	17%	81%	1%	1%	0%	736,379
CA	170,347	6%	83%	14%	1%	1%	1%	2,621,460
CO	72,801	20%	41%	56%	1%	1%	1%	367,055
CT	14,701	7%	54%	46%	0%	0%	0%	202,625
DC	7,496	8%	5%	92%	1%	2%	0%	90,150
DE	4,010	7%	58%	38%	0%	0%	3%	58,128
FL	194,066	17%	43%	43%	1%	0%	13%	1,154,929
GA	53,428	10%	70%	28%	1%	0%	1%	545,358
HI	8,736	11%	85%	9%	5%	1%	0%	78,456
IA	144,223	40%	13%	85%	1%	0%	1%	361,183
ID	13,848	13%	42%	12%	4%	40%	2%	108,008
IL	90,053	10%	40%	56%	1%	0%	3%	867,110
IN	50,893	11%	67%	31%	1%	0%	1%	447,262
KS	33,339	16%	65%	23%	12%	0%	0%	213,786
KY	56,067	20%	86%	12%	0%	0%	2%	282,125
LA	11,037	4%	85%	15%	0%	0%	0%	258,825
MA	30,516	6%	57%	38%	2%	0%	3%	516,331
MD	55,786	15%	80%	19%	1%	0%	0%	379,032
ME	10,053	14%	62%	35%	2%	0%	0%	72,810
MI	48,766	7%	79%	17%	1%	0%	3%	663,825
MN	119,366	26%	25%	72%	3%	0%	0%	451,661
MO	54,859	12%	50%	47%	1%	1%	2%	441,371
MS	16,371	9%	86%	13%	1%	0%	0%	176,665
MT	3,410	6%	84%	15%	1%	0%	0%	53,254
NC	66,558	12%	91%	6%	1%	0%	2%	578,031
ND	12,718	23%	62%	37%	1%	0%	0%	55,169
NE	23,826	17%	63%	34%	0%	2%	0%	139,578
NH	14,812	18%	36%	62%	1%	0%	1%	82,678
NJ	34,421	8%	60%	35%	1%	4%	0%	439,965
NM	20,357	13%	81%	19%	0%	0%	0%	156,424
NV	12,038	10%	90%	7%	0%	3%	0%	118,300
NY	82,408	6%	47%	50%	2%	1%	0%	1,315,590
OH	70,404	10%	78%	21%	0%	1%	0%	709,818
OK	26,253	11%	72%	25%	1%	2%	0%	228,464
OR	22,948	9%	71%	26%	1%	0%	3%	254,695
PA	62,517	8%	58%	40%	1%	0%	0%	777,242
RI	1,347	2%	59%	38%	3%	0%	0%	83,952
SC	15,598	6%	91%	8%	1%	0%	0%	259,617
SD	11,803	21%	72%	28%	0%	0%	0%	56,058
TN	21,279	6%	83%	17%	0%	0%	0%	343,641
TX	139,714	9%	90%	7%	2%	0%	1%	1,540,298
UT	62,026	23%	25%	74%	0%	0%	0%	267,309
VA	109,927	19%	45%	52%	2%	1%	0%	588,696
VT	4,507	10%	53%	39%	2%	0%	5%	44,703
WA	27,848	8%	30%	7%	0%	62%	0%	365,514
WI	28,398	8%	49%	12%	1%	0%	38%	369,732
WV	66,096	41%	10%	83%	3%	3%	0%	162,179
WY	4,228	11%	83%	17%	0%	0%	0%	37,812
Total %			51%	45%	1%	1%	2%
Enrollment Totals	2,638,653		1,336,873	1,176,009	33,561	36,779	55,431	20,642,819

In interpreting the data, the percentage is of all students enrolled in institutions located in that state, NOT of all students resident in that state.  Take Arizona as an example.  The 49% of student who are “enrolled exclusively in DE courses” takes into account the large number of students that are enrolled at institutions (i.e., Arizona State University, Grand Canyon University, University of Phoenix) that are headquartered in that state, but enroll students from a broad geographic region.  It does NOT mean that 49% of higher education students resident in the state of Arizona are “enrolled exclusively in DE courses.”

Students in Other States
Of students enrolled exclusively in DE courses, overall half (51%) were reported to be in the same state as the institution (1,336,873 students), 45% (1,176,009 students) were reported to be not in the same state as the institution and 1% (33,561) were reported to be located outside of the U.S. In addition, the IPEDS data has two additional categories “located in U.S.; state unknown” at 1% and “location of student unknown/not reported” at 2%.

Reviewing the location of students by state, we see that most IHEs predominantly service in-state students with their exclusively DE programs. Exceptions, based on the IPEDS data provided, include Iowa 85%, West Virginia 83%, and Arizona 81% of enrollments are out-of-state.

These states all have large institutions that provide online programs. A few examples are provided below.

• Iowa is home to Ashford University, with over 76,722 exclusively DE student enrollments and Kaplan University with over 46,000 exclusively DE enrollments across their Iowa campuses.
• American Public University System reports 58,115 exclusively DE student enrollments in West Virginia.
• Arizona has many institutions engaged in fully online offerings.
  • University of Phoenix-Online Campus reports 250,600 exclusively DE enrollments.
  • Grand Canyon University reported 28,417 exclusively DE, which is 58% of their enrollments.
  • Argosy University-Phoenix Online Division had 10,715 exclusively DE student enrollments in fall, 2012.
  • The public schools in Arizona also report large proportions of learners fully at a distance. Rio Salado College reported 16,235 fully DE student enrollments, 67% of total enrollments.
  • Arizona State reported 7,444 exclusively DE enrollment, about 10% of their total enrollments.

In addition, the District of Columbia reports that 92% of exclusively DE students are from outside the district, however the geography of the region likely explains this anomaly.

In Which State is the Student Located?
The current data does not tell us where these students are located in relation to the IHE.  The question asked was if the student was in another state or country.  Institutions were not asked to identify the exact location of the student.

Without that data it is impossible to tell whether students are clustered in close proximity to the state the IHE is located or if the college has a broad national reach.  The data does not help us to determine if an institution is serving students in a state in which it does not have authorization.

Students in Other Countries
Kansas leads with the highest total number of exclusively DE students who are known to be located outside the US, with 4,001 students reported, 12% of their exclusively DE populations. Fort Hays State University accounts for 90% of those enrollment, with 3,609 international students.

About 10 states report having upwards of 1,000 exclusively DE students who are known to live outside the borders of the U.S. In total, 33,561 international students were reported as being enrolled exclusively in DE courses, about 1% of the population. Since the survey did not ask, it is not clear what percentage of these students are military stationed elsewhere, other U.S. nationals located in other countries, or foreign nationals.  While the percentage is small, students located in other countries do represent possible issues including language, culture, providing support services, and in policy considerations for the institutions serving them.

Students Whose Location is Unknown or Not Reported
Only about 1% of students were reported as residing in the U.S., but the state was unknown.  A couple of states have much larger proportions of learners where the state is reported as unknown. Washington, for example, reported 62% of exclusively DE learners as out-of-state, but the state is unknown and Idaho reported 40%.

The last data field reports exclusively DE students for whom the location of the student is unknown or not reported by the IHE. Most states report a very small proportion of learners in this category. But in total there are over 55,000 learners whose locations is reported in this unknown category. The states with particularly high reporting of unknowns are Wisconsin at 38% (the University of Wisconsin System institutions do not report where their students are located) and Florida at 13%.  Some institutions or university systems report not knowing the location of any of their out-of-state students, implying that they are systematically avoiding the first step in state authorization compliance.

The new IPEDS data illuminates the work ahead to ensure full compliance with state regulations. Trend data over time will help determine whether out-of-state and out-of-country enrollments are increasing.

As a nation, nearly half of our enrollments that are exclusively in DE are students outside of the state of the IHE.

Some institutions simply did not report the student location data, rather they reported all exclusively DE enrollments as “location of student unknown/not reported”. If institutions are truly unaware of where their students are located, the likelihood of full compliance is extremely low.

In our next blog post, we will look at the numbers of institutions (by state) that are enrolling students outside their state and outside the country.

Terri Straut
Ascension Consulting
terri_straut@msn.com

Photo credit: Morgue File.

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